the Italian affiliate of the

1st AIEE Energy Symposium
Current and Future Challenges
to Energy Security


30 November-2 December 2016 - The University of Milan-Bicocca - Milan
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abstracts presentations
Wednesday - November 30, 2016
16.00-19.00 Registration
(Building U6 - ground floor - Hall of Aula Magna)
16:30-17:30 Opening Welcome Address
(Building U6 - Aula Magna - ground floor)

Gurkan Kumbaroglu, President of IAEE

Carlo Andrea Bollino
, President of AIEE

Guido Bortoni, President AEEGSI, the Italian regulatory authority for electricity, gas and water services

Lucia Visconti Parisio, Head of the Economy Department, Bicocca University

17.30-19.00 Welcome Cocktail
Thursday - December 1, 2016
08.30-17.00 Registration
(Building U6 - Hall - floor -1)
08.30-10.30 Coffee bar
09.30-10.30 concurrent sessions (1-4)
01 The impact of oil price fluctuation - Building U6 - Room Rodolfi - 4th floor
Chair: Alberto Pincherle, AIEE, Italy
  Macroeconomic and Financial Effects of Oil Price Shocks: Evidence for the Euro Area
Presenter: Claudio Morana, University of Milano Bicocca, Italy
Author: Claudio Morana
Reserves at Risk: Planning with Deep Uncertainty and High Complexity
Presenter. Umberto Perna, Eni S.p.A. & CNR-ISC, Italy
Authors: Umberto Perna, Vanessa Ulivieri
A Model Proposal to Estimate the Effect of Oil Price on Renewable Energy Consumption, Case Study: Europe
Presenter: Mazzarano Matteo, University of Bologna, Italy
Authors: Mazzarano Matteo, Amirhossein Fattahi
The effects of structural breaks on the long run level of oil and oil products. Evidence from the last two oil price crashes
Presenter: Rodríguez-Monroy Carlos, Universidad Politécnica de Madrid, Spain
Authors: Rodríguez-Monroy Carlos, Pablo A. Cansado-Bravo
The effects of exogenous oil supply shocks on the economic growth of selected Mediterranean countries
Presenter: Matteo Manera, University of Milan - Bicocca, Italy
Authors: Marzio Galeotti, Matteo Manera , Andrea Bastianin
02 Promoting or imposing energy efficiency - Building U7 - Room Pagani - 3rd floor
Chair: Carlo Mari, University of Pescara, Italy
  Boundedly rational consumers, energy and investment literacy, and the display of information on household appliances
Presenter: Nilkanth Kumar, ETH Zurich, Switzerland
Authors: Blasch Julia E., Massimo Filippini, Nilkanth Kumar
N. P. N.P.
Examining the energy rebound effect in South Africa within a BRICS countries context
Presenter: Inglesi-Lotz Roula, Department of Economics, University of Pretoria, South Africa
Author: Inglesi-Lotz Roula
Economic and sectoral impacts of energy efficiency targets: a general equilibrium approach for Portugal
Presenter: Carla Teotónio, Universidade de Aveiro, Portugal
Authors: Teotónio Carla, Miguel Rodriguez-Mendez, Peter Roebeling, Patrícia Fortes da Silva
03 Energy roadmap to 2050 - Building U6 - Room 1F - ground floor
Chair: G.B. Zorzoli, AIEE, Italy
  Economic Feasibility of Wind Energy Participation in Secondary Reserves Markets
Thompson Andrew,  Vedecom/Université Paris-Saclay, France
Authors: Thompson Andrew
Allocation of renewable generation from an energy portfolio
Presenter: Scala Antonio, CNR-ISC -Istituto Sistemi Complessi, Italy
Authors: Scala Antonio, Angelo Facchini, Umberto Perna
The Phase out of Coal in Britain and Germany: A Comparative Analysis of Drivers and Barriers
Presenter: Ball Christopher,  Forschungszentrum Jülich IEK-STE, Germany
Author: Paul Kunz, Christopher Ball
04 The challenges of electricity market design - Building U7 - Room 12 - ground floor
Chair: Carlo Andrea Bollino, AIEE and University of Perugia, Italy
  The Significance of Calendar Effects in the Electricity Market
Presenter: Kun Li, Business School, Beijing Normal University, China
Authors: Kun Li, Joseph D. Cursio
Renewable energy and its impact on thermal generation
Presenter: Graf Christoph, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Austria
Authors: Graf Christoph, Claudio Marcantonini
Studying the impact of the changing energy landscape on alternative market design
Presenter: Frayer Julia,  London Economics International LLC, United Kingdom
Authors: Frayer Julia, Azraa Zoomerwalla, Mugwe Kiragu
Economic and Operational Assessment of Established and New Reserve Methods and Metrics for Electric Grids with High Shares of Renewables
Presenter: Gürses Gonca, RWTH Aachen University, Germany
Authors:  Gürses Gonca, Jared Garrison, Reinhard Madlener
10.30-11.30 Dual Plenary Sessions
Energy security of supply  and market developments - (Building U6 - Room 1F - ground floor)

Chair: Giuseppe Gatti, President Energia Concorrente, Italy
Kostas Andriosopoulos, Executive Director, Research Centre for Energy Management (RCEM), Grece   
Giorgio Crugnola, RnD Manager, FZSONICK, Italy   
Felice Egidi, Senior Advisor Assoelettrica, Italy   

Chico Testa, President Sorgenia, Italy
Regulation of energy markets - (Building U6 - Room Rodolfi - 4th floor)

Chair: Alessandro Ortis, President Stati Generali dell’Efficienza Energetica (The States General of Energy Efficiency), Italy

Clara Poletti, Director of the Regulatory Department of AEEGSI, the Italian regulatory authority for electricity, gas and water services

Jean-Michel Glachant, Director of the Florence School of Regulation, Loyola de Palacio Chair at the European University Institute, Italy

Carlo Andrea Bollino, President AIEE, Professor University of Perugia, Italy
11.30-13.00 concurrent sessions (5-8)
05 The gas market: new perspectives? (Part I) - Building U6 - Room Rodolfi - 4th floor
Chair: Vittorio D'Ermo, AIEE, Italy
  Hub-Based Gas Sourcing for Market Liquidity and Continuity of Supply
Presenter: Cuijpers Chris,  Commission for Electricity and Gas Regulation (CREG), Belgium
Authors: Cuijpers Chris, Andreas Tirez
Causes and consequences of boom-bust cycles in natural gas production assets investments
Presenter:  Joël Enderlin , ENGIE, Strategy Division, Center of Expertise in Economic and Modeling Studies, France
Authors: Enderlin Joël, Benoît Dal Ferro
Investigating price determinant factors in European natural gas long-term contract
Presenter:  Hanee Ryu, Seoul National University, Korea
Authors:  Ryu Hanee, Hyoji Choi, Yeonbae Kim
06 Energy Efficiency in buildings - Building U6 - Room 1F - ground floor
Chair: Antonio Geracitano, EOS Consulting S.p.A
  Some like it hot: An experiment on comfort expectations and energy retrofit decisions
Presenter: Veronica Galassi, RWTH Aachen University, Germany
Authors: Reinhard Madlener, Veronica Galassi
Global economic potential from moderate and deep retrofit of building envelopes in residential and services sectors from an energy system perspective
Presenter:  Cristian Hernán Cabrera Pérez,  Technical University of Denmark, Denmark
Authors: Cabrera Cristian, Ksenia Petrichenko, Olexandr Balyk, Jay Gregg Sterling
A Structural Analysis of the Direct and Indirect Rebound Effects in Residential Heating
Presenter: Cécile Hediger , University of Neuchâtel, Switzerland
Authors: Hediger Cécile, Mehdi Farsi, Sylvain Weber
Evidence, drivers and sources of distortions in the distribution of building energy ratings prior to and after energy efficient retrofitting
Presenter:  Matthew Collins,  Economic and Social Research Institute, Ireland
Authors:  Collins Matthew, John Curtis
Modular advanced monitoring and control system for increasing energy efficiency in existing buildings
Presenter: Bogdan Onose, ICPE SA – Energy Division, Romania
Author: Bogdan Onose
07 Energy supply & security - Building U7 - Room 12 - ground floor
Chair: John Roberts, Natural Gas World, UK
  The Evolution of the Energy Security Concept: New Threats to Supply Security
Presenter: Irie Kazutomo, Asia Pacific Energy Research Centre, the Institute of Energy Economics, Japan
Author: Irie Kazutomo
Outsourcing Land in Search for Energy Security: Still a Controversial Matter
Presenter:  Rachel Ravagnani, State University of Campinas, Brasil
Authors:  Rachel Ravagnani, Carlos Augusto Matuguma, Luis Renato Vedovato
Impacts of Czech brown coal mines enlargement: assessment by energy model TIMES
Presenter:  Rečka Lukáš, Charles University Environment Center, Czech Republic
Author:  Rečka Lukáš, Milan Ščasný
Turkey’s Role in Energy Security
Presenter: John Roberts, Natural Gas World, UK
Author: John Roberts
08 Power markets regulation -- Building U7 - Room Pagani - 3rd floor
Chair: Fatma Çiğdem Çelik, Okan University, Department of Economics, Turkey
  Is larger always better? Economics of power market integration
Presenter: Philipp Dees,  Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg, Institute of Economics, Germany
Authors: Philipp Dees
Demand participation in ancillary service markets
Presenter: Elena Fumagalli,  Politecnico di Milano, Italy
Authors: Elena Fumagalli, Bastian Westbrock
The new Italian capacity remuneration mechanism. A deterministic modeling and simulation approach
Presenter: Giorgio Perico, REF-E Economics Engineering Energy Environment, Italy
Authors: Dalena Michele, Virginia Canazza, Giorgio Perico
Optimal operation of power distribution networks with renewable generation and storage devices

Presenter: Vespucci Maria Teresa, University of Bergamo
Authors: Vespucci M.T. Diana Moneta, Paolo Pisciella, Giacomo Viganò
13.00-14.00 Lunch and "Student Best Paper Award Ceremony"
14.00-15.30 concurrent sessions (9-12)
09 European gas market evolution - Building U6 - Room Rodolfi - 4th floor
Chair: Vittorio D'Ermo, AIEE, Italy
  A natural Gas Trading Platform for Japan
Presenter: Hashimoto Satoru, Teikyo University, Japan
Author: Hashimoto Satoru, Andrew Kleit
Russian LNG: competitiveness in the European natural gas market, the case of Italy
Presenter: Irina Mironova, NERPO Research Center, European University at Saint Petersburg, Russian Federation
Author: Mironova Irina
N.P. N.P.
The Economics of Natural Gas Storages in North Western European Markets
Presenter: Chi-Kong Chyong, EPRG, University of Cambridge, U.K
Authors: Chi-Kong Chyong, David Reiner
10 Energy and Industrial Competitiveness - Building U6 - Room 1F - ground floor
Chair: Agime Gerbeti, LUMSA University , Italy
  Natural gas: Renewables supporter or opponent
Presenter: Valeria Palmisano, Edison, Italy
Author:Palmisano Valeria
Economic impact of environmental and energy policies in Italy
Presenter:  Cristina Brandimarte, ISTAT, Italy
Author: Cristina Brandimarte
The fossil fuel subsidies to the energy sector in Italy
Presenter: Mario Iannotti, Italian Ministry of Environment, Land & Sea – Directorate-General Sustainable Development and Relations with the EU and International Organizations – A.T. Sogesid, Italy
Author: Mario Iannotti
The cost and value of energy storage systems
Presenter:  Manfred Weissenbacher, University of Malta, Malta
Author:  Weissenbacher Manfred
Legal issues on renewable incentives in Italy
Presenter: Daria Capotorto, Agnoli e Giuggioli Law firm, Italy
Author: Daria Capotorto
11 Energy supply & security: some experiences - Building U7 - Room 12 - ground floor
Chair: Angelica Gianfreda, University Bicocca, Italy
  Energy export strategies of the central Asian Caspian region
Presenter: Bakdolotov Aidyn, National Laboratory Astana, Kazakhstan
Authors:  Bakdolotov Aidyn, Rocco De Miglio, Yerbol Akhmetbekov, Kanat Baigarin
The evolving international gas market and energy security in Nigeria: regulatory and policy issues
Presenter: Tade Oyewunmi, Centre for Climate Change, Energy and Environmental Law, UEF Law School, Finland
Author: Oyewunmi Tade
Rebel attacks against energy infrastructure and electoral contestation:
a case study of Colombia
Presenter: Rebecca Lordan-Perret, University of Chicago and The Paul Scherrer Institute, USA
Author: Lordan-Perret Rebecca, Austin Wright, Peter Burgherr, Matteo Spada, Robert Rosner
Japan’s energy policy
Presenter: Zhuoxiang Yang,  The University of Tokyo, Japan
Author: Yang Zhuoxiang
12 Regulation of energy markets: some experiences - Building U7 - Room Pagani - 3rd floor
Chair: Ionut Purica, Advisory Center for Energy and Environment and Agency for Nuclear Energy
and Radioactive Waste
  Strategies for Energy Investments: Is There a Case of Foreign Country Bias? Case of Switzerland
Presenter: Yuliya Karneyeva, University of St. Gallen, Switzeralnd
Author:  Yuliya Karneyeva
The Nordic/Baltic Spot Electric Power System Price: Nonlinear Error-Shock Analysis
Presenter: Per Bjarte Solibakke, NTNU Faculty of Economics, Noeway
Author:  Solibakke Per Bjarte
Enabling Demand Response in Poland: Understanding the major factors that impact the uptake of demand response
Presenter: Katarzyna Ewa Rollert, Leuphana University Lüneburg, Germany
Author: Katarzyna Ewa Rollert
System Risk and Mark up in fossil production
Presenter: Silvana Stefani
Authors:Paolo Falbo, Daniele Felletti, Silvana Stefani
N.P N.P.
15.30-17.00 concurrent sessions (13-16)
13 The gas market: new perspectives? (Part II) - Building U6 - Room Rodolfi - 4th floor
Chair: Vittorio D’Ermo, AIEE, Italy
  Export of Russian natural gas to Europe
Presenter: Golombek Rolf, Frisch Centre, Norway
Author: Rolf Golombek, Arild Moe, Knut Einar Rosendahl, Hilde Hallre Le Tissier
Natural gas: Renewables supporter or opponent
Presenter: Vlahakis  Aryestis, Center for Economics Research ETH Zurich, Switzerland
Author: Vlahakis  Aryestis
Availability of gas in the European Union in a dynamic geo-political and commercial context
Presenter: Alexandru Maxim, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University of Iaşi, CERNESIM Environmental Research Center, Romania
Author:  Maxim Alexandru
14 Sectoral approach to energy efficiency in industry - Building U6 - Room 1F - ground floor
Chair: Paolo Gentili, PriceWaterhouseCoopers, Italy
  Measuring the efficiency of energy-intensive industries across 23 European countries
Presenter: Georgia Makridou, ESCP Europe Business School, U.K.
Author: Makridou Georgia, Kostas Andriosopoulos, Michael Doumpos, Constantin Zopounidis
Industry level production functions and energy use in within a growth framework
Presenter: Maria del Pablo-Romero, University of Seville, Spain
Author: Antonio Sánchez-Braza, Maria del Pablo-Romero
Energy efficiency trends in EU industrial sectors
Presenter: Francesco Marghella, AIEE, Italy
Author: Marghella Francesco
15 The challenges of climate change - Building U7 - Room 12 - ground floor
Chair: Agime Gerbeti, LUMSA University
  Why do we prefer below 2 degree warming world and how do we act in the different conditions?
Presenter: Mori Shunsuke, Tokyo University of Science, Japan
Author: Mori Shunsuke
Pollutant Abatement Investment under Technological Uncertainty
Presenter: Motoh Tsujimura, Doshisha University, Japan
Authors: Motoh Tsujimura, Akira Maeda
Overlapping policies and clean technology adoption under endogenous uncertainty
Presenter: Boffa Federico,  University of Bolzano, Italy
Authors:  Boffa Federico , Stefano Clò,  Alessio D’Amato
Coping with the collapse: a stock-flow consistent monetary macrodynamics of global warming
Presenter: Emmanuel Bovari, Agence Française de Développement - Université Paris 1 - Panthéon-Sorbonne, Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, France
Authors: Giraud Gaël, Florent McIsaac, Emmanuel Bovari, Ekaterina Zatsepina
16 The electricity market: an overview for the future - Building U7 - Room Pagani - 3rd floor
Chair :Alberto Pincherle, AIEE, Italy
  Technical due diligence analysis of the efficient system for users (SEU)
Presenter: Antonio Geracitano, EOS Consulting S.p.A., Italy
Authors:  Geracitano Antonio, Emanuele Riccobene
Assessing public policy support to wind power generation in reunion island
Presenter: Vincent Deodat, Center of Economics and Management of the Indian Ocean (CEMOI), University of Reunion, France
Authors: Deodat Vincent, Fabrizio Carlevaro
Vertical integration and retail tariff design in electricity markets
Presenter: Andreas Knaut, Institute of Energy Economics, University of Cologne, Germany
Author:  Knaut Andreas
Future of Electricity. How innovation & disruption will reshape the power sector
Presenter: Fereidoon P. Sioshansi, Menlo Energy Economics, USA
Author: Fereidoon P. Sioshansi
Friday - December 2, 2016 >>>>>>>


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